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JOHN WILEY & SONS, INC. (WLY)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 delivered underlying growth and margin expansion: Adjusted Revenue rose 3% to $0.423B, Adjusted EBITDA increased 14% to $0.106B (24.9% margin), and Adjusted EPS rose 36% to $0.97; GAAP EPS was $0.74, reversing a prior-year loss .
  • Learning led with 8% revenue growth to $0.162B and a 41.3% Adjusted EBITDA margin; Research grew modestly (2% revenue to $0.262B) with a 31.3% Adjusted EBITDA margin despite a $5M legacy print/licensing swing headwind .
  • Guidance reaffirmed: FY25 Adjusted Revenue $1.65–$1.69B, Adjusted EBITDA $385–$410M, Adjusted EPS $3.25–$3.60, and Free Cash Flow ~$125M; management expects uneven 2H phasing with Q4 elevated and Q3 seasonally softer .
  • Strategic catalysts: expanding AI licensing pipeline (two large deals executed YTD) and India’s One Nation One Subscription (ONOS) approval, which can broaden national access and support institutional models over time .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • “Continuous improvement is a way of life for us now, and it’s beginning to pay off in our quality growth and margin expansion,” said CEO Matt Kissner, highlighting broad-based execution and improving profitability .
  • Learning outperformed: revenue up 8% to $0.162B and Adjusted EBITDA up 24% with margin expanding to 41.3%; drivers included AI licensing, zyBooks courseware, inclusive access, and a favorable retail environment .
  • AI pipeline and productivity: two content rights projects executed YTD; 25% of colleagues reported productivity gains from AI tools; featured as an AI early adopter on Salesforce’s earnings call .

What Went Wrong

  • Research legacy revenue headwinds: a nonrecurring $5M swing in legacy print/licensing weighed on quarterly comps; prior-year onetime backfile deal drove unfavorable comparisons .
  • Seasonality and phasing: management guided to an uneven 2H with Q3 challenged by Learning seasonality and ongoing investments, while Q4 expected to be elevated; investors should plan for intra-year volatility .
  • Cash flow timing and leverage: H1 Free Cash Flow less product development spending was a use of $130M due to normal subscription cash collections timing, with Net Debt/EBITDA at 2.2x vs 2.0x prior year .

Financial Results

Consolidated Performance vs Prior Periods

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
GAAP Revenue ($USD Billions)$0.468 $0.404 $0.427
Adjusted Revenue ($USD Billions)$0.441 $0.390 $0.423
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$68.8 $29.0 $64.1
Adjusted Operating Income ($USD Millions)$77.4 $35.4 $68.8
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$125.0 $72.6 $105.5
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)28.3% 18.6% 24.9%
GAAP EPS ($)$0.46 ($0.03) $0.74
Adjusted EPS ($)$1.21 $0.47 $0.97

Notes: Adjusted metrics exclude Held for Sale/Sold segment, FX and certain items as defined by the company .

Year-over-Year (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024)

MetricQ2 2024Q2 2025
GAAP Revenue ($USD Billions)$0.493 $0.427
Adjusted Revenue ($USD Billions)$0.407 $0.423
GAAP EPS ($)($0.35) $0.74
Adjusted EPS ($)$0.73 $0.97
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$92.4 $105.5
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)22.7% 24.9%

Segment Breakdown (Q2 2025)

SegmentRevenue ($USD Millions)YoY Growth (CC)Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)
Research (Total)$261.9 +1% $82.0 31.3%
- Research Publishing$222.7 +1%
- Research Solutions$39.2 +2%
Learning (Total)$161.5 +7% (CC) $66.8 41.3%
- Academic$94.8 +5% (CC)
- Professional$66.7 +11% (CC)

KPIs and Capital Allocation (YTD through Q2)

KPIValue
Net Debt / EBITDA (TTM)2.2x vs 2.0x prior year
Net Cash Used in Operating Activities$(94)M
Free Cash Flow less Product Development Spending$(130)M
Dividends + Buybacks Allocation$64M; repurchased ~557K shares at $44.89 avg price
Dividend declaration$0.3525 per share payable Jan 9, 2025

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Adjusted Revenue ($B)FY2025$1.65–$1.69 $1.65–$1.69 Maintained
Research GrowthFY2025Low-to-mid single digit Low-to-mid single digit Maintained
Learning GrowthFY2025Low single digit Low single digit Maintained
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)FY2025$385–$410 $385–$410 Maintained
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)FY202523–24% 23–24% Maintained
Adjusted EPS ($)FY2025$3.25–$3.60 $3.25–$3.60 Maintained
Free Cash Flow ($M)FY2025~$125 ~$125 Maintained
Capex ($M)FY2025$130 (not formal “guidance” but outlook) $130 reiterated in outlook commentary Maintained
DividendFY2025Raised in June 2024 (31st consecutive year) $0.3525 declared Dec 12, 2024 Maintained (incremental declaration)

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024)Previous Mentions (Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
AI licensing & pipelineTwo large deals; early-stage, cautious approach; content primarily books; potential recurring models Second $21M project executed; $17M recognized in Q1; selective partnerships; rights principles Healthy pipeline across tech/pharma/info services; launching co-innovation program; Salesforce highlighted Wiley as early adopter Positive momentum
Research demand & submissions/outputSubmissions +15% TTM; output mid-single digit; OA +~20% expected Submissions +18% in Q1; output +6%; Western markets recovered; focus on platform CY25 renewals underway; ONOS in India approved; legacy swing impacted quarterly comps Improving trajectory, with timing noise
Research integrity & platformDeployed AI tools for fraud detection; platform migrations accelerating End-to-end platform progressing; reducing turnaround times; AI in workflows Refer-and-transfer AI pilot; 350+ journals migrated; ops/tech under one leader Structural progress
Learning performanceQ4 boosted by $23M AI deal; academic/courseware momentum Q1 growth from $17M of AI project; zyBooks +30% Q2: Academic +6%, Professional +12%; margin +510 bps YoY Sustained strength
Capital allocation & FCFFY24 FCF $114M; buybacks up; dividend raised (30th year) Q1 FCF use (seasonal); buybacks and dividend maintained H1 FCF use of $130M; buybacks and dividend maintained; leverage at 2.2x Seasonal cadence intact
Macro/policy (India ONOS)Not highlightedNot highlightedIndia ONOS: national license for access; potential to support subscriptions/transformational agreements Structural tailwind emerging

Management Commentary

  • CEO tone emphasized operational rigor and profitability: “We’re working to deliver compounding growth and material margin expansion over time… starting to see AI-related tailwinds” .
  • On Learning momentum: “Learning has had a good year so far, both Academic and Professional… continued strong margin improvement and EPS growth” .
  • On AI strategy: “We are recognized as a company at the forefront… 25% of colleagues recently reported productivity gains from AI tools” and partnering via co-innovation to build applications .
  • On India ONOS: “We’re encouraged… one national license… we’re not ready to talk about incremental benefit, but we’re encouraged by India’s 40% growth in article submissions” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Learning sustainability: Management cited zyBooks growth across CS/data/AI and improved trade execution; increasing signings as forward indicator .
  • Research dynamics: Submissions strong across Asia (India, China, Japan) and recovered in West; legacy revenue swing explained; growth expected to improve with renewals and Solutions pipeline .
  • Cost structure: Ongoing margin improvement as a “way of life”; focus areas include shared services and technology modernization; specifics to come later in the year .
  • Divestiture proceeds and capital allocation: Expect eventual collections tied to University Services; balanced approach with initial debt paydown and continued shareholder returns .
  • Investor day: Considering an event in calendar 2025 to update on strategy and momentum .

Estimates Context

  • We attempted to retrieve Wall Street consensus EPS and revenue estimates via S&P Global for Q2 2025 but the request was blocked due to a daily limit being exceeded; therefore, consensus comparisons are unavailable for this recap [functions.GetEstimates errors].
  • Given strong Adjusted EPS and margin expansion, and reaffirmed FY25 guidance, sell-side estimates may need to reflect: Learning margin durability (41% in Q2), a modest Research recovery despite legacy swings, and Q4-heavy phasing (elevated) vs Q3 (challenged) .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Learning is the near-term profit engine: margin expanded >500 bps YoY to 41.3% with diversified drivers (AI licensing, courseware, inclusive access, retail channel strength); durability looks favorable into 2H despite Q3 seasonality .
  • Research recovery progressing: modest growth amid timing effects and legacy swings; CY25 renewals and ONOS in India should support institutional models; watch Q4 for elevated phasing and Solutions improvement .
  • AI optionality is growing: two sizeable licensing deals completed; robust pipeline across tech/pharma/info services, plus productivity gains and platform-integrated integrity tools; recurring models could be future upside .
  • Cash flow cadence remains seasonal: H1 FCF typically a use; leverage at 2.2x remains manageable; dividends and buybacks continued (557K shares at $44.89), with a fresh dividend declaration in December .
  • Execution focus: leadership changes in finance, operations/technology, and marketing align with modernization, cost discipline, and brand/customer engagement—supporting sustained margin expansion through FY26 targets .
  • Trading lens: Expect intra-year volatility given Q3 softness and Q4 elevation; near-term catalysts include Q3 update on renewals, AI pipeline developments, and Evidence of Solutions recovery .
  • Medium-term thesis: Compounding growth from Research institutional/OA models, Learning’s digital/courseware shift, and AI monetization; margin targets (23–24% FY25; 24–25% FY26) credible given cost savings and platform productivity .

Appendix: Additional Data Tables

Segment Details Across Recent Quarters

Segment MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Research Revenue ($USD Millions)$271.0 $265.3 $261.9
Research Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$93.8 $77.8 $82.0
Research Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)34.6% 29.3% 31.3%
Learning Revenue ($USD Millions)$170.1 $124.3 $161.5
Learning Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$74.0 $33.8 $66.8
Learning Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)43.5% 27.2% 41.3%

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Highlights (YTD)

MetricQ2 YTD FY2025
Net Cash Used in Operating Activities ($USD Millions)$(94.0)
Capex ($USD Millions)$(29.0) (tech/property) and $(7.1) (product dev)
Free Cash Flow less Product Development Spending ($USD Millions)$(130.1)
Cash & Cash Equivalents ($USD Millions)$75.5 (Oct 31, 2024)
Total Debt ($USD Millions)Long-term $951.0; short-term $10.0

Notable Corporate Actions

  • Dividend declared $0.3525 per share (payable Jan 9, 2025) and continued buybacks (~557K shares at $44.89) .

Citations: All figures and statements are drawn from company filings, press releases, and the Q2 2025 earnings call transcript .